23/24 Rookie Class Analysis and Dynasty Tiers
1) Victor Wembanyama – From a fantasy standpoint, Wembanyama is the most exciting prospect since Anthony Davis. While it would be a slightly risky move because we don’t know whether or not Wembanyama’s frame can consistently withstand an 82-game schedule, he is viable in dynasty startups as high as pick two. The Spur has a higher ceiling in category leagues than Luka Doncic, Tyrese Haliburton, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. In his prime, Wembanyama should be an elite producer in rebounds and blocks and an above-average contributor in every other category except steals and turnovers. His three-ball is a work in progress but is in good shape for his age, and he is already a plus-passer for his position. It would not be surprising at all if Wembanyama eventually became a 1.5+ 3PG and 4.0+ APG player. The big man has the potential to dominate the fantasy landscape for years. However, his short-term outlook is slightly murky due to the team he plays on. The Spurs are the O.G. of the load management movement and will likely be very careful with their new centerpiece early in his career. They will also be trying to avoid becoming too good, too fast. The Spurs need to surround Wembanyama with other build-chip prospects, and regularly resting Wembanyama or shutting him down late in the season is one of the better ways to ensure that they have a shot at those blue-chip prospects. Games played are likely to be a problem for at least a couple of years.
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