1) Karl-Anthony Towns (C) – Fantasy players are going to be all over Towns this season and rightfully so. The big man had one of the most impressive rookie seasons of all-time and has a game that was made for fantasy. Like Kawhi, Towns possesses one of the most well-rounded lines in fantasy. His only weaknesses is his lack of steals (0.7 SPG) and I hesitate to call that a weakness given how many big men struggle with that category. With Tom Thibodeau behind the bench, expect Towns’ minutes to rise (32.0 MPG). Thibodeau tends to give his starters heavy run and Towns should have no problem adjusting to the heavier minutes. He was able to play in all 82 games as a rookie and showed no signs of wearing down as the season went on. KAT’s all-around game fits well into any build, but he is best suited for teams punting assists and/or points.
2) Anthony Davis (PF/C) – Davis could finish first overall on a per game basis and no one would be surprised. At this point, the most surprising thing that Davis could do is play 75 games. Since entering the league in 2012, the fragile big man has yet to play in more than 68 games in any season. The Pelicans likely ineptitude doesn’t help matters. With Ryan Anderson and Eric Gordon in Houston and Tyreke Evans and Jrue Holiday likely to miss significant chunks of the season, it’s highly unlikely that the Pelicans will be playing for anything when the fantasy playoffs roll around. If you do decide to gamble on Davis, he is best paired with the punt assists build (1.9 APG).
3) Hassan Whiteside (C) – The league’s best shot blocker followed up his breakout 2014-2015 campaign with a top-7 finish in 2015-2016. Only Steph Curry was more valuable in the punt FT% build last season which makes Whiteside a no-brainer pick at the end of the first round. He’s best paired with a point guard like Kyle Lowry or John Wall as those two cover Whiteside’s glaring weaknesses (0.4 APG, 0.6 SPG). While he is best deployed using a punt FT% strategy, the big man can work outside of the build. Whiteside improved from the line as last season went on and managed to shoot 73.4% from the line over the last three months of the season.
4) DeMarcus Cousins (PF/C) – Cousins is a monster when he is on the court, but like Anthony Davis, that is an increasingly rare occurrence. Over the past three seasons, Cousins has missed an average of 17 games, with many of those missed games coming at the end of the fantasy schedule. When he does suit up, Cousins is a dream fit for the punt FG% build (45.1 FG%). Blocks and rebounds are easily the two most difficult categories to find when punting FG% and Cousins delivers both in spades (11.5 RPG, 1.4 BPG). His excellent out-of-position steals (1.6 SPG) and newfound threes (1.1 3PG) will help you dominant two categories that the punt FG% build will be looking to win each week.
5) Paul Millsap (PF/C) – One of the league’s most underrated players finally received the recognition that he’s always deserved. It only took a DPOY-level season and a top-10 fantasy finish. Millsap has only finished outside of the top-25 once in the last six years and has finished in the first round twice over that span. Dwight Howard’s presence should only impact Millsap’s rebounding as Dwight is a better rebounder than Al Horford. A repeat of his top-10 finish is unlikely as the 1.9 BPG he averaged in 2015-2016 is well above his career average, but a top-15 finish is very possible. Millsap comes with a floor higher than many of the players who will likely be available after the first round.
6) LaMarcus Aldridge (PF/C) – After a very slow start to his first year in San Antonio, Aldridge was one of the most valuable players in fantasy over the second half of the season. Aldridge was a top-10 option over the last three months of 2015-2016 and offers one of the cleanest lines in fantasy. Over those three months, the big man averaged a very impressive 20.1 PPG, 8.1 RPG, and 1.3 BPG while providing elite percentages (53.9 FG%, 90.2 FT%) impact. Aldridge has finished in the top-15 on a per game basis, five of the past six seasons.
7) DeAndre Jordan (C) – There are very few options as safe as Jordan available at the beginning of the second round. Jordan is, of course, a mainstay of the punt FT% build and offers unmatched durability to go along with his excellent big man stats (13.8 RPG, 2.3 BPG, 70.3 FG%). Jordan has not missed a game due to injury since 2010-2011. The five games he missed last season were due to rest and a quick bout with pneumonia. Jordan is a better fit for the punt FT% build than fellow bricklayer Andre Drummond as Jordan’s FG% and blocks are much more valuable and more difficult to find that Drummond’s additional points and steals. Only Steph Curry was more valuable than Jordan in the punt points and FT% build last season.
8) Al Horford (PF/C) – Horford is perhaps the least exciting early-round option, but that doesn’t mean he’s not a very strong pick even early in the second round. In his last four healthy seasons, Horford hasn’t finished lower than 17th on a per game basis. Of course, he has never finished higher than 13th over that span, but consistency in the early rounds is extremely important. Having a first or second round pick bust usually leads to a very long season. The move to Boston shouldn’t have a major impact on Horford. Coach Stevens likes to play around with his lineups, but Horford, being the team’s best player, should be immune to any lineup changes. You won’t win any leagues by taking Horford in the second round, but you won’t lose any leagues either.
9) Andre Drummond (PF/C) – Drummond’s fantasy value continues to be dragged down by the Pistons’ attempts to develop his offensive game. He continues to struggle to score efficiently (52.0 FG%) and his disappointing results from the field leave him a level below Hassan Whiteside and DeAndre Jordan when it comes to punt FT% anchors. However, Drummond is a fine consolation prize for those missing out on the more efficient big men due to his league-leading rebounding (14.5 RPG), excellent out-of-position steals (1.5 SPG), and solid blocks (1.4 BPG). If you do decide to punt FT%, target Whiteside and Jordan before Drummond. Having an elite FG% anchor is extremely important when punting FT% as many of the guards that you will need to target later will struggle from the field.
10) Kristaps Porzingis (PF/C) – Karl-Anthony Towns was 2015-2016’s most hyped rookie, but Porzingis wasn’t far behind and deservedly so. The Knick is a dream fit for the punt FG% build due to his elite blocks (1.9 BPG) and solid rebounding (7.3 RPG) and fits well into almost any build thanks to his big man stats and his out-of-position threes (1.1 3PG). The addition of Derrick Rose should help Porzingis as the former Bull will demand much more defensive attention than the departing Jose Calderon. Kristaps was a top-30 per minute player last season and has a top-15 ceiling.
11) Serge Ibaka (PF/C) – The move to Orlando should breathe life into Ibaka’s quickly deteriorating fantasy value. Playing beside Nikola Vucevic should allow Ibaka to spend more time defending the rim and less time chasing stretch fours around the perimeter. Expect an increase in his blocks (1.9 BPG) as well as his scoring (12.6 PPG) now that he will no longer be playing beside Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant. It’s unlikely that we see Ibaka return to his top-15 ways as the value gained by his love of the three-ball (0.8 3PG) has been more than cancelled out by the corresponding drop in efficiency (47.9 FG%). Ibaka looks like a very strong pick starting in the third round and is a perfect fit for the punt FG% build. His blocks are extremely valuable in that build and his lack of dimes (0.8 APG) and swipes (0.5 SPG) can easily be offset by all the guards who receive boosts when FG% is ignored.
12) Brook Lopez (C) – The Nets’ big man looks like he’s finally over the foot issues that threatened his career. Lopez is by no means an ironman, but has now played in at least 72 games two seasons in a row. His newfound health has allowed Lopez to be a second-round asset the past two seasons and the center is a great bet to repeat his 2015-2016 averages of 20.6 PPG, 7.9 RPG, and 1.7 BPG. Brook is also extremely efficient (51.1 FG%, 78.7 FT%) and his previous issues with dimes and steals aren’t as debilitating as they used to be (2.0 APG, 0.8 SPG). The biggest issue with Lopez is the team he is on. The Nets are going to be horrendous and he’ll be a shutdown candidate during the fantasy playoffs.
13) Blake Griffin (PF/C) – Last season was a disaster for Blake. He failed to crack the top-40 on a per game basis and missed over half the season after breaking his hand on an equipment manager’s face. He has missed significant time two seasons in a row, but remains a safe bet to produce early-round value when he is on the court. Despite his improvement from the line (72.7 FT%), Griffin is an excellent fit for the punt FT% build. Blake provides the scoring (21.4 PPG) and out-of-position assists (4.9 APG) that are required to successfully pull off the build.
14) Nikola Jokic (C) – The hype surrounding Jokic is getting out of control, but there’s no denying that the talented big man has early-round potential. Jokic finished in the top-70 last season despite only playing 21.7 MPG and was a top-10 per minute player. With King Joff in Oklahoma City and the fragile Jusuf Nurkic backing up Jokic, the Nuggets’ starting center should see close to 28 MPG. He should average a double-double (16.5 PP36, 11.6 RP36) and will be a sneaky source of out-of-position assists (3.9 AP36). Jokic is also an excellent source of percentages impact (51.1 FG%, 81.1 FT%) and is an above-average thief (1.6 SP36). The big man’s one weakness is his below-average shot blocking ability (1.0 BP36) which makes the Serbian a prime candidate for the punt blocks build.
15) Derrick Favors (PF/C) – Favors has slowly, but steadily, risen up the fantasy rankings and managed to be a top-30 asset in 2015-2016. Favors offensive game has grown considerably over the past two seasons and the power forward should benefit from the addition of George Hill. Favors is an excellent source of big man stats (8.1 RPG, 1.5 BPG, 51.5 FG%) and has improved enough at the line (70.9 FT%) that he is useful outside of the punt FT% build.
16) Marc Gasol (C) – The big Spaniard is still recovering from a season-ending foot injury, but should be ready for the start of training camp. Gasol is ranked surprisingly low in Yahoo’s rankings and projects to be excellent value for anyone who scoops him up in the middle rounds. Gasol’s value tends to bounce around a lot. He was a top-20 player in 2014-2015 but only a top-45 option in 2015-2016. Despite the inconsistency, the Grizzlies’ center’s ceiling makes him an excellent pick at his current price, especially for those looking to punt FG%. Gasol’s FG% has been trending downward (46.3 FG%) and he brings the rebounds (7.0 RPG) and blocks (1.3 BPG) that the build requires without hurting you from the line (82.9 FT%).
17) Nikola Vucevic (PF/C) – The concerns surrounding the Magic’s signing of Bismack Biyombo have gotten out of hand and have allowed Vucevic to become a value pick for those drafting early. As long as Vucevic is on the Magic’s roster, he is going to start. A starting lineup of Elfrid Payton, Evan Fournier, Aaron Gordon, Serge Ibaka, and Bismack Biyombo would be the worst offensive starting lineup in the league. There’s no reason why Vucevic can’t return top-40 value for the fifth year in a row. He’ll still see north of 30 MPG and will continue to be one of the best fits for the punt blocks build (1.1 BPG) due to his proficiency on the boards (8.8 RPG) and efficient scoring (51.0 FG%).
18) Pau Gasol (PF/C) – Gasol is replacing the retiring Tim Duncan and figures to see both his minutes and production drop now that he is in San Antonio. Pau was a top-20 option in Chicago, but likely won’t see more than 28 MPG in his first season in the silver and black. Coach Popovich will want to keep Gasol fresh for the playoffs and he’s likely the odd man out when the Spurs decide to go small. A top-50 per game finish feels very doable, but owners targeting the Spaniard need to accept that that top-50 production will likely come with some ill-timed DNP-OLDs.
19) Kevin Love (PF/C) – There’s been no signs that the Cavaliers intend to increase the former perennial first-round pick’s role and that leaves Love as a solid, yet uninspiring, mid-round pick. Love’s upside isn’t very high due to his role, but the big man will continue to be an excellent source of out-of-position threes (2.1 3PG) and free-throw impact (82.2 FT%). Love is another big man who fits the punt blocks build well (0.5 BPG) as he brings the rebounds (9.9 RPG) that you need to pull off the strategy successfully.
20) Gorgui Dieng (PF/C) – Dieng has an extremely fantasy-friendly game, but as usual, his role is up in the air. The Wolves have been shopping for a power forward and have never fully embraced Dieng as their long-term solution at the four. However, as of now, Dieng is looking like the likely starter at power forward and that would mean big things. Thibodeau relies heavily on starters and if Dieng can hold onto the starting job, he should see an uptick in playing time (27.1 MPG). That means that Dieng, who is coming off of back-to-back, top-55 seasons, has a chance to crack the top-35 in 2016-2017. Gorgui is an very good source of defensive stats (1.1 SPG, 1.2 BPG) and is one of the league’s most efficient big men (53.3 FG%, 82.7 FT%). Those pristine percentages make him one of the best mid-round options for the punt points build.
21) Rudy Gobert (C) – Gobert was one of 2015-2016’s biggest disappointments and didn’t come close to justifying his second-round ADP. The big man missed 21 games and was only a top-70 player when he did suit up. However, Gobert has shown the ability to post early-round numbers and any player who has early-round potential deserves to be taken in the middle rounds. The presence of George Hill should help Gobert’s FG% bounce back. The big man only shot 55.9% from the field in 2015-2016, which was significantly lower than the 60.4% connect rate that he posted in 2014-2015. Gobert is an excellent option for those who decide to punt FT% (56.9 FT%) and went guard heavy in the early rounds.
22) Jonas Valanciunas (C) – Dwane Casey has talked about increasing Valanciunas’ role all offseason and that has caused the big man’s ADP to spike in early drafts. As a Raptors fan, I’ll believe it when I see it. This isn’t the first time Casey has promised Big V an increased role. Valanciunas, if he was to see 30 MPG, could post top-30 value, as he is a very strong per minute player, but his inability to average even an assist or half a steal a game (0.7 APG, 0.4 SPG) keeps his ceiling outside of the first two rounds. The Lithuanian does produce quite a bit in the traditional big man categories. He is extremely efficient from the field (56.5 FG%), excellent on the boards (12.7 RP36), and is a solid rim protector (1.3 BPG). As a bonus, Val is one of the few centers that is competent from the line (76.1 FT%).
23) Ryan Anderson (PF/C) – Anderson and the Rockets are a match made in heaven. Anderson fits perfectly with what Mike D’Antoni likes to do and feels like a lock to hit at least 2.5 3PM. Anderson has reached that mark three times in his career and each time it resulted in a top-50 finish, including a top-10 finish in 2011-2012. The sharpshooter is an especially good fit punt blocks (0.4 BPG) and punt FG% (42.8%) scenarios.
24) Dirk Nowitzki (PF/C) – The legend continues to defy Father Time and produced yet another top-30 season in 2015-2016. With the Mavericks, once again, looking like a borderline playoff team, Dirk’s minutes should stay north of 30 MPG (31.5 MPG). Coach Carlisle would like to play Nowitzki less, but he simply doesn’t have a choice given the quality of the big German’s teammates. Dirk provides excellent out-of-position threes (1.7 3PG) and FT% impact (89.3 FT% on 3.7 FTA), but his shooting from the field has dropped as his game has become more perimeter oriented (44.8 FG%). Dirk is a solid fit for the punt blocks build (0.7 BPG) and a good, but not great fit, for the punt FG% build. Ideally, you want your punt FG% big men to contribute more than just decent boards (6.5 RPG) and below-average blocks.
25) Marcin Gortat (C) – Gortat is one of the league’s steadiest players and has posted top-50 value three seasons in a row. The signing of Ian Mahinmi isn’t ideal, as Gortat and Mahinmi probably can’t play beside each other, but Gortat could still post top-50 value even if his minutes slightly decrease. Gortat fits into almost any punting strategy. He is extremely efficient (56.7 FG%), is one of the league’s better rebounders (9.9 RPG), is a solid rim protector (1.3 BPG), and doesn’t kill you from the line (70.5 FT% on 2.8 FTA).
26) Nerlens Noel (PF/C) – Noel is an extremely hard player to rank. The 76ers are reportedly trying to move one of Noel and Jahlil Okafor to free up playing time for top pick Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid. Noel is the more likely of the two to be moved and his value will be very dependent on where he lands. If it’s a favorable landing spot, Noel could very easily be a top-25 player. He’s shown that type of upside before. A favorable landing spot should be defined as a spot where he can spend most of his time at center. Noel’s offensive game is still in its infancy, and if he is forced to spend significant time at the four, his FG% is likely to take a serious hit (52.1 FG%). Regardless of where he lands, Noel will be one of the league’s best sources of defensive stats (1.8 SPG, 1.5 BPG).
27) Myles Turner (PF/C) – Turner is one of my favorite potential breakout players and looked like a star in the making during the Pacers’ playoff run. The talented young big man was a top-90 player over the last three months of the season despite only playing 26.4 MPG. Over that stretch he averaged 12.1 PPG, 6.4 RPG, and 1.7 BPG on 49.7 FG%. Those already very useful numbers, look like Turner’s floor. A top-50 finish is very possible. Al Jefferson is a shell of his former self and will be not a threat to Turner’s minutes.
28) Greg Monroe (PF/C) – The Bucks were defensively challenged in 2015-2016 and much of the blame should go to Monroe. The Bucks’ brass seems to agree and has been trying to move the big man all summer. This ranking reflects the uncertainty surrounding Monroe as he was much better than this in 2015-2016. Last season, Monroe was a top-45 player who scored efficiently (15.3 PPG on 52.2 FG%) and hit the boards hard (8.8 RPG). Monroe’s usually above-average steals disappeared (0.9 SPG), but owners should expect a bounce back in that category as last season was the first time in the former Piston’s career where he didn’t average at least 1.1 SPG.
29) Robin Lopez (C) – Lopez’s lone year with the Knicks was forgettable, but the steady big man did finish the year extremely strong. Over the last two months of the season, Lopez provided owners with top-60 value that included 9.2 RPG and 2.0 BPG to go along with his always stellar percentages (55.4 FG%, 78.5 FT%). With so many playmakers on the Bulls’ roster, expect Lopez’ FG% to rise which makes a top-60 finish very possible. He is an excellent fit for the punt assist build (1.4 APG) and is one of my favorite 2016-2017 mid-round sleepers.
30) Enes Kanter (C) – Kanter is in line for the biggest workload of his career as the Thunder will look to the big man to take many of the shots that used to go to Kevin Durant. An increased role could mean very big things for a player who was a top-20 per minute player in 2015-2016. Kanter is a very tricky player to build around though. He provides absolutely nothing on the defensive end (0.3 SPG, 0.4 BPG) and is a black hole on offense (0.4 APG).
31) Clint Capela (PF/C) – With Dwight Howard now in Atlanta, Capela will have a huge role in what should be an explosive Rockets offense. Capela is a punt FT%-only player (37.9 FT%), but he projects to be a heck of a punt FT%-only player. The big man was a top-20 per minute player in the punt FT% build last season and is one of the best mid-round options for those who went guard heavy early. Capela’s 2015-2016 per minute numbers give us an idea of what to expect this coming season. The Rocket produced 12.1 RP36 and 2.3 BP36 while shooting 58.2% from the field. Those are impressive numbers and any player who can average a double-double with two blocks a night is going to be a very deadly H2H weapon.
32) Dwight Howard (PF/C) – Howard is replacing Al Horford and remains a mid-round option for those punting FT%. The move to Atlanta should be accompanied by usage boost and that should lead to an increase in his shot attempts and scoring (13.7 PPG). Despite having his worst season since his rookie year, Howard was still a top-20 option in the punt FT% build in 2015-2016. He’s no longer an elite option without FT%, but with so many of the ideal punt FT% big men slated to go early in drafts, Dwight is a good option for those going guard heavy early.
33) Steven Adams (C) – Adams was one of the playoff’s biggest breakout stars, but it’s unlikely that a breakout regular season would translate to mid-round value. The quirky big man’s game isn’t particularly fantasy friendly. He struggles from the line (58.2 FT%), is an afterthought on offense (8.0 PPG), provides no dimes (0.8 APG) or swipes (0.5 SPG), and is a decent, but not dominant shot blocker (1.1 BPG). Even if you are punting FT%, Adams is a poor option at his current fifth-round price. Last season, Adams was barely a top-150 per minute player when FT% was ignored.
34) Jared Sullinger (PF/C) – With all the silly deals being thrown at role players this offseason, the Raptors did very well to bring in Sullinger on a $6 million deal. The former Celtic is the heavy favorite to start at the four for the Raptors and should be very motivated as he is only on a one-year deal. Sullinger has apparently lost quite a bit of weight and should see around 30 MPG if his body can hold up. A top-75 finish is very possible. In 2014-2015, Sullinger was a top-50 per minute player thanks to his ability to contribute across the board. The big man is an especially good fit for those punting FG% (43.5%). Expect his FT% to bounce back as last year’s mark of 64.0% was well below his career average of 72.7%.
35) Markieff Morris (PF/C) – So far, the Wizards’ trade deadline acquisition of Morris has been a flop. The Wizards failed to make the playoffs despite giving up what turned out to be a lottery pick for Markieff. Despite the slow start to his career in Washington, he remains an intriguing fantasy option due to his past success and his ability to produce across-the-board. Markieff was a top-70 player in 2014-2015 and averaged a very impressive 15.3 PPG, 0.7 3PG, 6.2 RPG, 1.2 SPG, and 0.5 BPG. Those aren’t realistic numbers given that his role in Washington is smaller than what it was in Phoenix, but Morris does have more upside than most players in this range. He was a top-120 player during his time in Washington and should be able to crack the top-100 now that he is more familiar with his teammates and the Wizards’ system.
36) Kenneth Faried (PF/C) – Faried’s development has stalled and it has caused the Nuggets to begin to look elsewhere for their long-term solution at the four. His fantasy value has also hit an impasse as the power forward can’t seem to become anything more than a top-100 player. Faried’s upside is limited, but the Nugget is also extremely consistent. In his five year career, Faried has never finished worse than 92nd-overall and never better than 81st-overall. Expect close to a double-double (12.6 PPG, 8.7 RPG), top notch FG% impact (55.8 FG%), and around a block per night (0.9 BPG) from Faried in 2016-2017.
37) Cody Zeller (PF/C) – The Hornets’ starting center provides owners with a clean line that has been short on counting stats in the past. That could change this year. Zeller should see his minutes rise (24.3 MPG) and in turn, his rebounding (6.2 RPG), steals (0.8 SPG), and blocks (0.9 BPG). Bump those numbers up slightly and you have an excellent late-round target for the punt points build (12.9 PPG). Zeller is one of the few big men available late in the draft who is a positive both from the floor (52.9 FG%) and at the line (75.4 FT%).
38) Zach Randolph (PF/C) – The big man is coming to the end of road, but should have enough gas left in the tank to provide owners with at least one more useful fantasy season. Zach was a top-100 player last year and as usual, most of his value came from his scoring (15.3 PPG) and rebounding (7.8 RPG). He is a solid fit for the punt blocks build (0.2 BPG) due to his rebounding and his ability to score at a reasonably efficient clip (47.5 FG%, 79.6 FT%).
39) Willie Cauley-Stein (PF/C) – The sophomore could post some very useful big man numbers in 2016-2017 if new coach Dave Joerger allows it. Joerger is still undecided on whether Cauley-Stein will start for the Kings this coming season and has spent the summer talking up his teams’ depth at power forward. WCS doesn’t need many minutes to be roster-worthy though. Over the last three months of his rookie season, the big man was a top-110 option in standard leagues despite only playing 23.5 MPG. Even if he only sees a slight increase in minutes, Cauley-Stein should be a very good source of boards (9.0 RP36), defensive stats (1.2 SP36, 1.7 BP36), and FG% impact (56.3 FG%).
40) Mason Plumlee (PF/C) – The Blazers’ big man would be an excellent fantasy weapon if he could ever manage to consistently see 30 MPG. Despite a breakout playoff performance, it appears unlikely that Plumlee will see more than a modest bump in minutes this season (25.4 MPG). Ed Davis remains on the roster and the Blazers’ signed former Warrior Festus Ezeli in free agency. Plumlee’s upside is limited by his teammates, but his well-rounded line makes him one of the best late-round targets for those punting FT% (64.2 FT% on 4.1 FTA). Mason is an above-average source of assists from the center position (2.4 APG) and offers very useful big man numbers (7.7 RPG, 1.0 BPG, 51.6 FG%).
41) Andrew Bogut (C) – Bogut is an outstanding per minute player and is an excellent fit beside Dirk Nowitzki. The Aussie will likely finish within the top-100, but won’t have more than low-end value in H2H leagues due to his low minutes and low ceiling. Bogut is a nice late-round option for those punting points (5.4 PPG). The center is a very good source of traditional big man stats (7.0 RPG, 1.6 BPG, 62.7 FG%) and doesn’t get to the line enough for his free-throw shooting woes to matter (48.0 FT% on 0.7 FTA). As always, Bogut will be a lock to miss 12-15 games.
42) Jahlil Okafor (C) – Okafor, like teammate Nerlens Noel, is an extremely hard player to rank as long as both remain on the Sixers’ roster. Owners targeting Okafor should hope that he is moved before the season begins. It’s extremely unlikely that the former Blue Devil and Joel Embiid can play extended minutes beside each other. That means that a drop in playing time (30.0 MPG) is very possible. From a fantasy perspective, Okafor’s rookie season played out as expected. He produced strong numbers in the traditional big man categories (7.0 RPG, 1.2 BPG, 50.8 FG%) and in the scoring column (17.5 PPG), but failed to make an impact elsewhere. The uncertainty surrounding Okafor’s situation, as well as his FT% (68.6 FT%), lack of assists (1.2 APG), lack of steals (0.4 SPG), and above-average turnover rate (2.3 TOPG), make a breakout sophomore campaign unlikely.
43) Chris Bosh (PF/C) – It’s hard to envision the 2016-2017 season going well for Bosh. Bosh has apparently been cleared by his own doctors to return to the court, but the Heat remain undecided on whether to allow it. The perennial All-Star has now had two consecutive seasons ruined by blood clots and even if he was to be cleared, it’s extremely likely that he’ll be handled with kid gloves all season long. Also working against Bosh is the Heat’s roster. The Heat lost three of their playoff starters over the summer and won’t be competing for a playoff spot this season. It’s unlikely that the Heat allow Bosh to play major minutes down the stretch of what is likely a lost season. He’s untouchable at his current mid-round ADP.
44) Joakim Noah (PF/C) – Noah is worth a late-round flier on the off chance that the move to New York revitalizes his career, but it’s hard to get too excited about the former All-Star given how terrible he has looked the past two years. Noah’s game, and body, has fallen off a cliff. The former All-Star somehow managed to only shoot 38.3% from the field in 2015-2016. That is a spectacularly awful number, especially when you consider that 74% of Noah’s shots were within three feet of the basket. He should still be a decent source of boards (8.8 RPG) and out-of-position dimes (3.8 APG) and is best deployed in the punt points build (4.3 PPG).
45) Timofey Mozgov (C) – The Lakers’ signing of Mozgov was one of the more puzzling signings of the offseason. The veteran looked like a shell of his former self in 2015-2016 and is joining a rebuilding team. It was an ugly signing for the Lakers, but it does make Mozgov a viable late-round pick. The Lakers’ backup center is Tarick Black, so it goes without saying that the big Russian should see major minutes, possibly upwards of 28 MPG. Mozgov’s game is somewhat fantasy friendly as the big man is respectable from the line (71.6 FT%), a decent rim protector (1.6 BP36), and makes the most of his scoring opportunities (56.5 FG%).
46) Alex Len (PF/C) – The Suns unleashed Len down the stretch of the 2015-2016 and the results were both horrendous and intriguing. We learned that Len is not ready to be a focal point of an NBA offense. The center was force fed touches and it led to some of the ugliest shooting numbers you will ever see from a big man. Len shot 39.1% over the last two months of the season and due to the volume (12.1 FGA) that accompanied the terrible shooting, was nearly impossible to roster if you weren’t punting FG%. He also struggled to take care of the ball (2.7 TOPG) and Len’s previously excellent block rate (2.5 BP36 in 2014-2015) completely disappeared (1.2 BP36 in 2015-2016). What makes Len intriguing his ability hit the boards (11.7 RP36) and that previously high block rate. It’s unclear if Len or Tyson Chandler will start at center for the Suns, but regardless of where Len starts the game, he should be worthy of a roster spot to owners punting FG%.
47) Kelly Olynyk (C) – Olynyk has mid-round potential, but will, once again, be stuck in the Celtics’ frontcourt platoon. Olynyk will back up both Al Horford and Amir Johnson and likely won’t see much more than 20 MPG. He may also miss some time to start the season due to offseason shoulder surgery. The big man, when given extended run, has the ability to contribute in almost every category. He hits from deep (2.2 3P36), is a strong per minute scorer (17.7 PPG), and can chip in on the defensive end (1.3 SPG, 0.9 BPG). The Celtic is a nice late-round option for those punting blocks or chasing upside.
48) Bismack Biyombo (PF/C) – There’s been some talk of Biyombo starting for the Magic, but I find that hard to believe with Nikola Vucevic still on the roster. Biyombo’s very strong playoff run masked how forgettable his regular season was. Bismack was barely a top-175 per minute player during the regular season and is a huge drag on a team’s FT% (62.8%), assists (0.6 APG), and steals (0.4 SPG). The now extremely wealthy center has more holes in his line than most big men and is a mediocre option at the end of the draft as long as Vucevic remains in a Magic jersey. If Vucevic is moved, I still wouldn’t touch Bismack before the later rounds and only those punting FT% should target him aggressively.
49) Tyson Chandler (C) – Chandler is stuck in a timeshare on a team that wishes they could move his bloated contract. The big man doesn’t fit well with the Suns’ youth movement and will likely be a candidate for late-season rest if he remains on the Suns’ roster. Chandler’s contributions will come primarily on the boards (8.7 RPG) and from the floor (58.3 FG%). Don’t expect more than a block a game, at best (0.7 BPG), from the 33-year-old veteran.
50) Ed Davis (PF/C) – Davis is a great per minute player who will remain in a timeshare with Mason Plumlee and possibly Festus Ezeli. The big man was one of the league’s best bench players in 2015-2016 and really turned it on down the stretch. Over the last month of the season, Davis was a top-65 player despite his usual struggles from the line (59.4 FT%). Over that span, he averaged 8.5 RPG, 1.1 SPG, and 1.2 BPG in only 20.7 MPG. He is a punt FT%-only player who can provide a noticeable boost to your team’s FG% (61.1 FG%).
51) Joel Embiid (C) – Expect big things from Embiid, at least on a per minute basis. It’s easy to forget that Embiid was once seen as one of the best prospects of the past decade before a back injury caused him to slip in the draft and multiple foot injuries cost him the first two years of his rookie contract. His injury history makes it unlikely that the Sixers fully unleash Embiid and the extremely talented big man may not play in back-to-back sets to start the season. His minutes will likely be limited all year, but even in something like 22 MPG, the center should be a useful source of boards, blocks, and FG%.
52) Tristan Thompson (PF/C) – Thompson is a punt FT%-only (61.6 FT%) three-category player and is no more than a late-round option for those in need of FG% impact (58.8 FG%) and help on boards (9.0 RPG). The Canadian provides almost nothing on the defensive end (0.5 SPG, 0.6 BPG) and the only other category that Thompson provides above-average production in is turnovers. Thompson has a limited ceiling and his floor is lower than usual this season due to the presence of a certain Kardashian.
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