May 4th Box Score Analysis (7 Games)
Suns 134 Cavaliers 118 (OT)
Deandre Ayton: A nice bounceback from Ayton who has been struggling lately. Hopefully, this big line means that he’s healthy. He may still be dealing with a shoulder issue that he picked up against the Bucks a couple of weeks ago. If you take a look at his game log, you’ll notice that the recent dip in play lines up perfectly with that game. Despite the recent rough patch, Ayton has been a top-20 nine-category player over the last month and a first-round asset in friendly builds.
Torrey Craig: You can likely do better in standard leagues, but in deeper settings, Craig will be a solid streamer until Crowder is back. Give him a look if you boards, blocks, and a three per night. Since entering the starting lineup five games ago, Craig has averaged 8.0 PPG, 1.0 3PG, 5.0 RPG, and 1.6 BPG in 23.3 MPG.
Isaac Okoro: Okoro’s offensive game has been showing signs of life lately. This explosion is a fluke, but the Cavalier has turned into someone that opposing defenses need to pay attention to. Over his last eight, Okoro has averaged 13.6 PPG on 44.4 FG%, 0.9 3PG, and 2.1 APG. You can do better in 12-team leagues, but if you are in a deep league and need steals (1.0 SPG), the Cavalier is worth considering.
Cedi Osman (Pick Up): Osman will be a very strong streaming option until Darius Garland is back. With the Cavaliers sporting a G League bench, Cedi will see big minutes and produce low-end numbers in most categories. In the 22 games that he’s started in this season, Osman has averaged 13.0 PPG on 37.7 FG%, 2.2 3PG, 4.0 RPG, 4.0 APG, and 1.2 BPG.
Hornets 102 Pistons 99
Caleb Martin: With Bridges likely done for the regular season and his brother Cody out as well, Caleb becomes somewhat interesting. Not because he’s all that good, but because the Hornets don’t really have anyone else to turn to. In an expanded role, the forward should be able to produce useful numbers in boards and steals while chipping in from deep. On the year, Martin is producing 1.4 3P36, 6.6 RP36, and 1.7 SP36. He will be a dicey add if FG% is competitive. The Hornet is shooting only 38.2 percent this year.
Jalen McDaniels: McDaniels should be relevant again with the Hornets down most of their wing rotation. When given an extended look this season, McDaniels has been a strong source of boards and steals and has provided his owners with useful numbers in points, threes, and blocks. In his 11 starts this season, McDaniels has averaged 11.5 PPG on 45.0 FG%, 1.4 3PG, 5.2 RPG, 1.6 SPG, and 0.7 BPG. The Hornets’ schedule makes McDaniels an especially attractive add. Starting on Thursday, the Hornets will play three games in four nights.
Hamidou Diallo: This is a fluke, but if you do need points, Diallo is worth considering. Someone in this starting line has to score, and outside of Saddiq Bey, no one is super reliable. Diallo should be a strong contributor in the points category down the stretch (17.7 PP36) and will provide his owners with decent numbers in boards (7.9 RP36) and steals (1.2 SP36) as well. He is someone you will want to stay far, far away from if FT% is a deciding category. Diallo is shooting 63.8 percent from the line this year and comes with a very high draw rate.
Sekou Doumbouya: There is a nice opportunity here for Sekou. He’s started the Pistons’ last four games and has played at least 27 minutes in all four games. However, at this point in the season, with championships on the line, I can’t recommend someone as risky as Doumbouya. I think we will probably see him Post a couple of nice lines over the next couple of weeks, but it’s hard to say when, and his floor is very low. In the two games leading up to last night’s explosion, Sekou averaged only 7.5 PPG, 0.0 3PG, 5.5 RPG, 1.5 APG, 0.0 SPG, and 0.0 BPG.
Clippers 105 Raptors 100
Marcus Morris: If there are not any decent players with three games left on your wire, then scooping up Morris makes sense. He would have been a must-own player over the last couple of weeks if it was not for the Clippers’ horrendous schedule. Morris has two games left this week and should help those adding him win points and threes. Over his last five, Morris has averaged an excellent 17.2 PPG and 3.0 3PG.
Reggie Jackson: The 17 shots were due to the Raptors’ defensive strategy. They were selling out all night on the two stars and daring the supporting cast to beat them. As you can see from Kawhi’s line, that strategy worked fairly well. With Beverley back, Jackson is too risky to use a pickup on. He played big minutes last night, but Beverley is very unlikely to play 15 MPG going forward.
Khem Birch: Birch is really the only Raptor you can trust at the moment. This wasn’t the best line, but at least we know he’ll (probably) be out there every night. If the Raptors lose to Washington on Thursday, expect most of the top options to finally get shut down. The big man should be owned in all leagues right now for his strong contributions in the big-man categories. Over his last eight, Birch has averaged 12.1 PPG on 62.7 FG%, 8.6 RPG, and 0.9 BPG.
Yuta Watanabe: Big minutes for Yuta who can be ignored outside of extremely deep leagues this week. Lowry is back tomorrow and it sounds like Trent will be as well. If he gets some extra run next week, Watanabe could post some decent numbers in rebounds, steals, and blocks. On the year, he is producing a healthy 8.0 RP36, 1.3 SP36, and 1.1 BP36.
Mavericks 127 Heat 113
Tim Hardaway (Pick Up): Hardaway has the potential to swing leagues if points and threes are the deciding categories. Not only is his nightly upside in both categories immense, the Mavericks also have three games from Thursday to Sunday. After this monster night, Hardaway is averaging 19.6 PPG and 3.5 3PG over his last eight. He’s someone to stay away from if those categories are not in play. Over that eight-game stretch, the gunner has averaged only 3.1 RPG, 2.0 APG, 0.3 SPG, and 0.3 BPG.
Dwight Powell: Back-to-back first-round games from Powell. With the Mavericks having three games left this week and Porzingis and Kleber likely not coming back until Week 20, I would add him if you need FG% impact (59.4 FG%), boards (8.8 RP36), and respectable steals from a big-man slot (1.5 SP36). I wouldn’t count on too many swats. Powell is only producing 1.0 BP36 this season and has never been more than a low-end contributor in the category.
Kendrick Nunn: Nunn is a clear standard-league option at the moment, but I would have dropped him in most leagues last night. If you play with same-day adds, then I would drop him tonight with the Heat not playing again until Friday. Whether or not you should scoop Nunn up again later in the week comes down to Tyler Herro’s availability. If it looks like Herro is going to miss both of the Heat’s next two games, then Nunn will be a must-add. If the sophomore is expected to be back for Friday night’s game against the Wolves, then Nunn will be a so-so stream.
Trevor Ariza: Another big game from Ariza who will be a great add once the Heat resume play on Friday. From now until the end of the season, the veteran should be able to provide his owners with standard-league numbers. Over the last two weeks, Ariza has produced top-75 numbers in 28.9 MPG thanks to averages of 10.9 PPG, 2.0 3PG, 5.4 RPG, 1.4 SPG, and 0.8 BPG.
Bucks 124 Nets 118
Khris Middleton: Middleton is out with a knee issue tonight. That means that he’ll only play – at most – one more game this week. Because of the injury and the weak schedule, I would drop in most scenarios. There will be players on your wire with three games left, and unless you play in an extremely deep league, those players will do more in three games than Middleton will in one. The Bucks’ next game comes against the Rockets, so it’s very possible that Middleton’s absence extends beyond tonight.
Bucks: No one on the Bucks is worth streaming with the team only having one game left after tonight. Milwaukee ends their week on Friday, so if you own a Buck, save a move for their replacement. The Thunder and Pistons are the two teams that play on both Saturday and Sunday.
Nets Centers: With Claxton back, I’m staying away from the Nets’ center rotation. It may take a few games for Claxton’s minutes to ramp up, and he doesn’t have much upside in what will likely be a limited role. Jordan will be a DNP-CD risk once Claxton is up to speed. Griffin is viable in deeper leagues but will be a risky play now that Claxton is healthy.
Jeff Green: A forgettable night for Green, but as long as he continues to see minutes in the 30s, he’ll be worth deploying in 14-team leagues. Over his last eight, Green has averaged a boring, but useful, 13.3 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 5.0 RPG, 2.1 APG, and 0.8 BPG. The Nets’ final two games of the week come on Thursday against the Mavericks and Saturday against the Nuggets.
Pelicans 108 Warriors 103
Jaxson Hayes: Adams hurt his toe again, so Hayes could be in for a game or two of big minutes. However, unless I was absolutely desperate, I would look elsewhere. Hernangomez had been ahead of Hayes until last night, and it’s possible that Willy’s benching could have been due to the matchup. It’s very possible that if Adams misses time, Hernangomez gets the majority of the center minutes.
James Johnson: Keep an eye out for reports on Ingram’s ankle sprain. If Ingram has to miss time, then Johnson becomes a strong streaming option for those in need of defensive stats. In the six games that Johnson has started this year, he’s averaged an excellent 1.0 SPG and 1.7 BPG. The veteran also has the ability to produce low-end, but useful, numbers in most of the other counting categories. In those six games, Johnson managed 12.3 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 4.2 RPG, and 3.3 APG.
Kent Bazemore: Bazemore was due for a dud. The swingman has been playing like an early-round option, and that level of play obviously wasn’t going to last forever. Despite the brutal night, Bazemore should be held for the rest of the week. He should bounce back with the Warriors’ final two games of the week coming against the Thunder. In the three games leading up to this dud, Bazemore averaged 1.7 3PG, 9.0 RPG, 2.7 SPG, and 1.3 BPG.
Juan Toscano-Anderson: JTA is a poor man’s Bazemore. He can give you decent defensive numbers and boards, but he won’t do anything in the scoring categories. Over his last four, Toscano-Anderson has averaged a very useful 5.3 RPG, 1.8 SPG, and 1.8 BPG. As a bonus, he has the ability to give you low-end dimes. Over that four-game stretch, JTA has averaged 3.3 APG.
Kings 103 Thunder 99
Delon Wright (Pick Up): If Fox doesn’t come back soon, Delon will swing a lot of leagues. As we saw in Detroit, Wright is a mid-round player who can have top-35 stretches when he’s a team’s primary ball handler. In his 32 starts this season, Wright has averaged an excellent 11.1 PPG, 0.9 3PG, 5.1 RPG, 5.5 APG, 1.8 SPG, 0.6 BPG, and only 1.3 TOPG. He is a must-own player in all leagues.
Terence Davis: If you missed out on Wright and are in need of guard stats, give Davis a look. If Davis is going to play big minutes the rest of the week, then he should turn into a strong source of points, threes, and steals. On the year, the former Raptor is producing 16.9 PP36, 3.2 3PG, and 1.3 SP36.
Moses Brown: A nice game from Moses who is just a rebounding streamer at the moment. He can also provide low-end FG% impact but is not a force in the category. If you are hunting for blocks, then Moses is not a great option. The G League call-up has fallen off of a cliff in the category as of late. Over his last seven, Brown has averaged only 0.3 BPG.
Luguentz Dort: Woof. Dort has now scored a total of 20 points on 35 shots over his last two games. That has to be some kind of chucking record. Dort is just a hail mary points and threes streamer. In a tight matchup, I’d go for something safer. He’s more for teams that are in a tough spot and need their players to outplay their averages. Dort is also a must-avoid if FG% is competitive.