Apr. 8 Box Score Analysis (7 Games)
Mavericks 116 Bucks 101
Dorian Finney-Smith (Pick Up in DL): DFS is a must-own player in 14-team leagues and is viable in 12-team leagues. He is a low-upside player, but he has been a top-110 asset over the last month thanks to averages of 10.1 PPG, 2.1 3PG, 6.0 RPG, and only 0.6 TOPG. In Week 18, DFS will be a pickup in all leagues due to the Mavericks’ five-game schedule.
Jalen Brunson: I would give Brunson another game or two. He’s been playing a lot lately and has been taking advantage of the extra minutes. Before this dud, the combo guard had hit 29 minutes in four of his last five games. He averaged 17.8 PPG, 1.6 3PG, and 3.4 APG over that stretch. The Mavericks’ upcoming schedule makes it easier to hold him. Starting on Sunday, they play three games in four nights.
Bobby Portis (Pick Up): Portis needs to be owned as long as Giannis is out. The big man is an elite per-minute producer and has the ability to put up lines like this every time he’s playing major minutes. In the three games that the Bucks have played since the Antetokounmpo injury, Portis has averaged 17.0 PPG, 1.0 3PG, and 11.0 RPG. Once Giannis is back, he’ll just be a 14-team league option, and once Tucker is back, he could lose his relevancy there as well.
Donte DiVincenzo (Hold): DiVincenzo is out tonight with a hip injury. We just have to hope that it is an excuse to give the third-year man a night off. It would be a fairly significant blow to his owners if he were to miss time at this critical part of the fantasy calendar. DiVincenzo has been a difference-maker over the last month. He’s produced top-60 numbers and has been a force in threes (2.4 3PG), rebounds (7.8 RPG), and steals (1.6 SPG). If he has to miss a couple of more games, try to hold if your playoffs have not already started.
Clippers 113 Suns 103
Ivica Zubac (Hold): This was a pretty disappointing night for Zubac given that Cousins didn’t play. I’m still holding in 12-team leagues. In 10-team leagues, he’s become expendable, especially with the Clippers having a horrendous playoff schedule. After producing early-round numbers for a couple of weeks just after Ibaka went down, Zubac has barely been a top-200 player over the last two weeks. Over this recent rough stretch, he’s averaged only 8.4 PPG on 57.8 FG%, 8.0 RPG, 0.9 BPG, and absolutely nothing else (0.0 3PG, 0.9 APG, 0.1 SPG).
Rajon Rondo: Beverley is out three to four weeks, so Rondo could end up having some value in 16-team leagues. In anything shallower than that, I would just view him as a high-end dimes streamer. There’s a good chance that Jackson gets the bulk of the Clippers’ point guard minutes as the Clippers will likely want to keep Rondo fresh for the playoffs. He would need minutes in the high-20s to become a 12-teamer, and I can’t see that happening.
Jae Crowder: Crowder has been brutal lately and is fine to drop. However, I’m not against adding him either, as he could start producing top-100 numbers tomorrow. That’s just how he rolls. You never know what you are going to get from Crowder, but the threes and rebounds are usually useful. Over the last month, he’s averaged a helpful 2.3 3PG and 4.9 RPG. The Suns’ remaining schedule makes him very attractive as a streamer. From now until the end of the season, the Suns play four games every single week.
Mikal Bridges: A very nice bounceback from Bridges after he put up a donut against the Jazz. That Jazz game is nothing to worry about. He’s inconsistent on the offensive end, but that was just a fluke. I would value Bridges as a top-50 player down the stretch. He’s been a top-60 player on the year, and the Suns’ schedule gives him a little extra value.
Heat 110 Lakers 104
Duncan Robinson (Pick Up): Robinson is never going to produce a well-rounded line, but as long as he’s hitting about four threes a night at a decent clip, he should be on someone’s roster. Of course, it doesn’t have to be yours. If threes are not competitive, then he’s useless. Over the last month, Robinson has been a top-80 player and has averaged 13.8 PPG on 46.6 FG%, 3.9 3PG, 3.4 RPG, and 2.1 APG.
Victor Oladipo: Oladipo looked very good before going down with a non-contact knee injury. If he is out more than a few games, he’ll be a drop. Dipo will likely be handled with kids gloves when he’s back and playing in back-to-back sets is almost certainly off of the table now. In Miami, he’s just going to be a top-100ish player at best, and a top-100ish player who is sitting out a game or two a week during the fantasy playoffs should be viewed as just a streamer. If your playoffs have already started, you should move on. It is very likely that he misses at least some time.
Dennis Schroder (Pick Up): Schroder has done a nice job in the dimes department since LeBron went down, and it’s turned him into a mid-round player. Since James turned his ankle, Schroder has averaged 8.0 APG and has been a top-70 nine-category asset. Without LeBron, Schroder has also averaged 16.2 PPG, 1.3 3PG, and 2.0 SPG. Once Davis and/or James are back, Schroder will lose touches and usage and go back to being just a back-end option.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: An awesome game from KCP, but not one that I would get too excited about. In his previous six games, he averaged only 7.8 PPG. Even with the Lakers down their two stars, KCP is just a threes streamer and not a particularly good one. Over the last 30 days, Caldwell-Pope has averaged 1.7 3PG.
Cavaliers 129 Thunder 102
Isaac Okoro: Okoro is in the midst of the best offensive stretch of his career and is worth considering in 16-team leagues. His game is too limited at the moment to be more than a steals streamer in anything shallower (1.0 SPG). Okoro has scored in double-digits in each of his last three games and has averaged 14.3 PPG and 2.3 3PG in those three games.
Kevin Love (Pick Up): I’m picking up Love not because I trust him, but because of the Cavaliers’ Week 17 schedule. That week, the Cavaliers play four times and the only back-to-back set they have starts on Sunday. That means that Love owners could get four games out of the big man that week. Four games out of Love, even in his current reduced state, could mean top-50 numbers in a playoff week. After Week 17, he’ll likely be a drop, as he could sit on Monday of Week 18, and then sit a second time later in the week when the Cavaliers have another back-to-back set.
Moses Brown: Not a bad game from Brown, but not one that makes me exhale either. Lately, Brown’s play has ranged from bad to horrendous, and if it wasn’t for the Thunder’s five-game schedule in Week 18, I would strongly consider calling him a drop. In the fantasy playoffs, he will be a drop in a lot of matchups because all of his value is in the big-man categories, and in many matchups, at least one or two of those categories will be off the table. If boards aren’t a swing category or if blocks aren’t competitive, then rostering Brown is going to hurt you a lot more than it will help you.
Ty Jerome: As we saw last night, Jerome can be very productive when given the opportunity. Unfortunately, the opportunity isn’t there consistently enough to make him more than a 16-team league option. Over his last five games, the sophomore has played 18, 26, 27, 20, and 31 minutes. In shallower leagues, he’s just a low-end threes and dimes streamer. Over the last two weeks, Jerome has averaged 1.6 3PG and 3.6 APG.
Pistons 113 Kings 101
Isaiah Stewart (Pick Up): Plumlee has a concussion and Casey has said that he is currently without a timeline. That is big news for Stewart, as it turns him into a must-own player in all leagues. In his four games as a starter, Stewart has played 27.0 MPG and has averaged 12.5 PPG on 78.6 FG%, 8.0 RPG, 1.0 SPG, and 1.8 BPG. Once Plumlee comes back, Stewart will still be viable in standard leagues, but will only be more than low-end in friendly builds.
Cory Joseph (Pick Up): Grab him and see if the starting spot sticks. Joseph’s minutes have been all over the place since the trade, but his per-minute numbers have been consistently good, and much better than they were in Sacramento. Since the address change, Joseph has been a top-85 player in only 23.4 MPG and has averaged 11.9 PPG on 54.2 FG%, 5.1 APG, and 1.2 SPG while knocking down 92.6 percent of his 3.0 FTA. In 14-team leagues, he is a must-own at the moment.
Dennis Smith Jr: Keep an eye on him. Casey is playing musical chairs with the Pistons’ rotation, and if Smith starts seeing 27 a night consistently, he’d be useful in most leagues for his assists and steals. In the eight games that he has started this season, Smith has averaged 4.6 APG and 1.5 SPG in only 24.1 MPG. I would not add him just yet, and Diallo is going to play more than 16 minutes most nights, and Hayes’ minutes will probably ramp up.
Tyrese Haliburton (Hold): It’s super shocking that benching Haliburton for *checks notes* Moe Harkless didn’t work. If Walton wants out of Sacramento, he should just quit. This is a bit much. I wouldn’t worry too much about where Haliburton starts the game. He’s going to play over 30 a night regardless of whether or not he is a starter. The rookie has slowed down a bit lately, but he should still produce mid-round numbers down the stretch. Despite some rough games over the last couple of weeks, Haliburton is still ranked inside of the top-60 on the year.
Moe Harkless: I would just ignore Harkless for now. Walton may put Haliburton back in the starting lineup soon, and either way, it is very unlikely that Harkless plays enough to be relevant even in the deepest of fantasy leagues. The veteran has been one of the worst per-minute players in the league this season and no longer has the ability to produce useful numbers in the defensive categories (0.8 SP36, 0.8 BP36).
Bulls 122 Raptors 113
Tomas Satoransky (Pick Up): Sato has been a little quiet the last couple of games, but his play since being promoted to the starting lineup has been worthy of a standard-league roster spot. Since stealing Coby White’s job, Satoransky has produced mid-round numbers that include 10.4 PPG on 53.8 FG%, 1.1 3PG, 6.1 APG, and 1.4 SPG. The extra minutes have also turned him into a strong source of FT% impact (94.4 FT% on 1.3 FTA). If those numbers don’t convince you to grab Satoransky, then the Bulls’ remaining schedule should. The Bulls play four games every week until the end of the season.
Daniel Theis (Pick Up in DL): Donovan is starting to play Theis beside Vucevic, and that is leading to some extra minutes for the German. I’m not grabbing in standard leagues yet, but it is a trend to keep an eye on. If Theis starts seeing 24-to-26 minutes on a regular basis, the top-150 is doable. I would definitely be adding in 16-team leagues, and I would be watching him in 14-team leagues. Since the trade, Theis has averaged 7.8 PPG on 53.3 FG%, 5.0 RPG, 2.2 APG, and 1.0 BPG.
Lauri Markkanen: Markkanen has played very well since moving to the bench, but his minutes haven’t been high enough to make him more than a 14-team league option. Despite shooting 55.3 percent from the field over the last two weeks, Markkanen has only been a top-165 player over that span because he’s only played 24.0 MPG. Once his shooting cools off, it’s possible that he loses his 14-team relevancy as well.
Gary Trent: It sounds like the Raptors are going to get Lowry and VanVleet back soon, so feel free to move on from Trent if you don’t need his threes or can’t take the FG% hit that accompanies him. Trent will lose some shots and possibly some minutes when the Raptors get their starting backcourt back. Since the trade, Trent has only been a top-160 player despite playing 33.2 MPG. He just doesn’t contribute in enough categories to much more than that unless he is hot from the field. In 14-team leagues, he’s should be held.
Chris Boucher: Somebody doesn’t want to lose minutes to Khem Birch. Birch could cost Boucher a couple of minutes a night, but he won’t play enough to knock Boucher out of the middle rounds. We may get more of those annoying 16-minute games that happen from time to time, but most of Boucher’s value should be safe. I would still expect just over 20 minutes a night and as we’ve seen, the Canadian can be a top-50 player with that much run. There will be frustrating nights, but in the end, Boucher will still end up being one of the more valuable players on your squad.
Jazz 122 Blazers 103
Bojan Bogdanovic: Bogdanovic is owned in too many leagues. Too many fantasy players are living in 2020. Bogdanovic has only had a couple of stretches this season where he’s played like a standard-league asset, and his value has trended down as the year has gone on. Over the last month, the gunner has only been a top-250 option and hasn’t even been a particularly good source of points (12.9 PPG) or threes (1.6 3PG). Even in 14-team leagues, he’s just a low-end player.
Joe Ingles (Pick Up/Hold): With Clarkson beat up, Ingles should get a little more run than usual in the short term. He was already a standard-league hold/pick up, but Clarkson going down cements that status. Ingles has not been a borderline player lately. Outside of a couple of rough games earlier this week, the Australian has been providing his owners with mid-round lines. Over the last month, Ingles has been a top-65 player thanks to averages of 11.9 PPG on 53.4 FG%, 3.0 3PG, 4.2 RPG, 3.6 APG, and 1.2 SPG.
Jusuf Nurkic: The per-minute numbers have been solid since he returned, but it is looking like it’s still going to be a bit before his minutes ramp up. If you are in the playoffs right now, Nurkic is fine to drop. I would think that we will just get low-end numbers for at least another week, and given his recent knee soreness, he’ll likely sit during the Blazers’ upcoming back-to-back set. If Nurkic doesn’t start playing in back-to-back sets, then he’s going to be expendable in the fantasy playoffs in standard leagues.
Enes Kanter (Hold): I’m not dropping Kanter yet. I do not trust Nurkic at all, and Kanter has proven that he can be useful coming off of the bench. Since Nurkic returned, Kanter has actually been a top-80 player and has averaged a useful 10.0 PPG on 62.0 FG%, 10.9 RPG, and 0.9 BPG in 24.9 MPG. Kanter is also a hold because Nurkic is unlikely to play in both ends of back-to-back sets, at least in the short term. With the Blazers having a back-to-back set starting tomorrow, Kanter should a strong play this weekend.