Apr. 28 Box Score Analysis (10 Games)
Celtics 120 Hornets 111
Evan Fournier: This is an incredibly disappointing line given that Kemba and Smart were out. Outside of a fluky five-steal game against the OKC Blue, Fournier has been horrendous since getting out of COVID protocol. If you ignore the game against the Thunder, Fournier has scored a TOTAL of four points since returning. If Walker is ruled out early on Friday, I would give Fournier another game. If Kemba is back, then I would cut Fournier loose.
Robert Williams (Pick Up): Williams is a run, don’t walk pickup now that he’s back. It may take a couple of games for his minutes to ramp up, but that’s OK, as Time Lord can do mid-round things even when he’s playing fewer than 20 minutes a night. I would expect him to get back into the mid-20s eventually, and that puts the early rounds in play. The Celtics do not have a back-to-back set this week or next, so I would not be worried about rest days.
Cody Martin: If you need boards and steals this weekend, you could do a lot worse than Martin (just double-check that you are picking up the right C. Martin before making the move). Martin has averaged 6.4 RPG and 1.4 SPG over his last eight. He’s also been a sneaky source of low-end dimes lately (3.3 APG over this last eight), but that nice stretch in the category will likely come to an end if LaMelo is back this weekend. The Hornets have a back-to-back set against the Pistons and Heat that starts on Saturday.
Cody Zeller: A nice game from Zeller, but at this point in the year, we can’t risk blowing a move on the center. Zeller was a DNP-CD in each of the Hornets’ last three games. Go with someone safer this weekend.
Magic 109 Cavaliers 104
Gary Harris: Harris is a decent low-end points and threes option with the Magic starting a back-to-back set against the Grizzlies on Friday. You can likely do better in standard leagues, but in deeper leagues, he may be useful. Since joining the Magic, Harris has averaged 12.2 PPG and 1.2 3PG. I would not read too much into the seven dimes. In Orlando, Harris is averaging just 2.7 APG.
Mo Bamba (Pick Up): Another big line from Bamba who is a must-own in all leagues with the Magic having a back-to-back set starting tomorrow. Over his last four, Bamba has produced top-50 numbers that include averages of 12.3 PPG, 1.5 3PG, 8.3 RPG, and 1.8 BPG.
Chuma Okeke (Drop): A nasty line from Chuma, but unfortunately he picked up an ankle injury late and has already been ruled out of Friday night’s game against the Grizzlies. Given the early rule out, it’s safe to assume that Okeke is going to miss multiple games. Because of this, I would drop him in almost all leagues. The only exception being if you have a bye this week.
Cedi Osman: Osman will be a strong streamer until Sexton is back. In his 20 starts this season, Cedi has averaged 12.8 PPG, 2.1 3PG, 3.8 RPG, 3.7 APG, and 1.3 SPG. That’s a very useful line, but if you are in a matchup where FG% is going to be one of the deciding categories, you will want to look elsewhere. In an expanded role, Osman will come with a material FG% hit (36.5 FG%).
Isaac Okoro: Okoro is just a forgettable steals streamer. The four steals jumps off the page, but that’s not really who he is. Okoro’s per-minute steal rate is forgettable (1.2 SP36), and he only averages 1.0 SPG because the Cavaliers have been playing him big minutes (31.8 MPG). The Cavaliers do have a back-to-back set starting tomorrow, so Okoro can be useful in deeper settings, but in standard leagues, you can almost certainly do better. Outside of steals and turnovers, Okoro is not producing even close-to-average numbers in any category.
Nuggets 114 Pelicans 112
Facundo Campazzo (Pick Up): Facu is a must-own player with both Barton and Morris out. Until one of them is back, the Nuggets will be forced to play the point guard major minutes. Big minutes for Campazzo means some flashy numbers in threes, dimes, and steals. Over his last four games, Facu has posted top-45 numbers that include averages of 1.3 3PG, 8.5 APG, and 2.0 SPG. Keep an eye on your FG% if you pick up Campazzo. The Nugget is shooting only 38.6 percent on the season.
Aaron Gordon: Gordon is very cuttable at this point. Despite the Nuggets being down a number of bodies, he is not producing anything particularly useful. Over the last two weeks, Gordon has only played 24.3 MPG and has averaged a fairly useless 10.1 PPG on 45.8 FG%, 1.0 3PG, 4.9 RPG, 2.0 APG, 0.7 SPG, and 0.3 BPG. After tonight’s game against the Raptors, I would cut him. The Nuggets only play one game from Friday to Sunday, so a two-game streamer will give you more than Gordon over that stretch.
Willy Hernangomez: Adams re-injured his foot and is likely looking at some time on the sidelines. The big man has already been ruled out of the Pelicans’ game against the Thunder tonight. When Adams sits, Hernangomez becomes an elite rebounding streamer who can help out in FG%. Hernangomez is producing an excellent 14.0 RP36 this season, so double-digit boards are in play now that he’s a good bet to see minutes in the mid-20s. On the year, the Pelican is shooting 56.0 percent from the floor.
James Johnson: Those in 16-team leagues should keep an eye on Johnson. I wouldn’t add him just yet because it may take a couple of games for his minutes to ramp up, but if he gets back into the mid-to-high 20s, he’ll be worth owning in deeper settings for his ability to contribute in almost every category. Over his 12 games, in 25.6 MPG, Johnson has produced top-185 numbers that include averages of 9.1 PPG, 0.8 3PG, 3.9 RPG, 2.6 APG, 0.8 SPG, and 1.3 BPG.
Blazers 130 Grizzlies 109
Carmelo Anthony: Melo is rolling right now and is one of the best streaming options for those in need of points and threes. He won’t do anything else, but it will be hard to do better if you need help in those two categories. Over the last month, Anthony has averaged 12.9 PPG and 2.3 3PG, and over the last two weeks, the former All-Star has averaged 15.4 PPG and 3.0 3PG. He should be fairly valuable from now until the end of Week 19. From Friday of Week 18 to Saturday of Week 19, the Blazers play six times.
Anfernee Simons: Unsurprisingly, Simons came back to Earth after his insane nine-three outing against the Pacers. The Blazer can give you a couple of threes per night (2.0 3PG), but expecting anything else from Simons would be a mistake (8.2 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 1.4 APG, 0.3 SPG).
Grayson Allen/De’Anthony Melton: There are just too many cooks in the kitchen right now to rely on either player. If you still have either player on your roster, I’d hold through the back-t0-back set against the Magic, but after that, I would drop them for a Sunday streamer or a player with a strong Week 19 schedule if you think you have your matchup wrapped up. Allen’s minutes have dropped into the mid-20s, and Melton has only produced one useful line since returning for injury six games ago.
Kyle Anderson (Hold): Back-to-back terrible games from Anderson, but fortunately, both were due to the score. If you look at his game log, you’ll see that his production has been more than adequate in games where the Grizzlies decided to show up. With two games against the Magic left this week, it’s unlikely that the Grizzlies get smashed again, so we should get a mid-round line or two out of Anderson. Despite the two very rough games, Anderson has produced top-50 numbers over the last 30 days.
Heat 116 Spurs 111
Trevor Ariza: Ariza will be one of your best streaming options this weekend if you are in need of threes and steals with the Heat having a back-to-back set that starts on Saturday. Last night was rough, but he’s been very solid in both categories lately. Over his last 10 games, Ariza has averaged 2.3 3PG and 1.0 SPG. The veteran will also give his owners useful boards, but the rest of his line will be low-end, and he comes with a decent-sized FG% hit (38.6 FG%).
Goran Dragic: If Herro is back this weekend, I would stay away from Dragic. In the last two games that Herro played in, Dragic failed to hit the 20-minute mark. If Herro is out, then I would go ahead and stream the veteran if you need points, threes, and dimes. Over his last seven, in 26.1 MPG, Dragic has averaged 12.9 PPG, 2.3 3PG, and 4.7 APG. He’s also averaged 1.4 SPG over that stretch, but those swipes are not for real. On the year, Dragic is managing only 0.7 SPG.
Devin Vassell: If Vassell is going to start going forward, the rookie should end up as a solid steals streamer. He had an elite steal rate in college and is producing a very solid 1.7 SP36 on the year. If his minutes can stick in the mid-20s, then he should put up respectable numbers in threes as well (2.0 3P36). The rest of his line will be limited. Starting tomorrow, the Spurs start a stretch of three games in four nights with a back-to-back set starting on Sunday.
Keldon Johnson: A classic Johnson line and I do not mean that as a compliment. Derrick White going down might lead to a little extra usage and minutes for Johnson, but that doesn’t really matter. His issue is not opportunity. His issue is that his game is just not made for fantasy. Johnson is low-end points, solid boards, and nothing else. If you need that, then go ahead and stream him. If you don’t, then stay far, far away. Over the last month, the Spur has averaged a laughable 0.9 3PG, 1.3 APG, 0.5 SPG, and 0.1 BPG.