Apr. 27 Box Score Analysis (6 Games)
Thunder 119 Celtics 115
Luguentz Dort (Pick Up): Dort has been very good since taking over as the Thunder’s top option, and with the Thunder having three games left, he’s worth streaming. The three-game part is important because he is almost certainly going to get at least one night off. Don’t be surprised if his hip flares up this weekend when the Thunder play a back-to-back set against the Pacers and Suns. In the six games that he’s played since returning from his concussion, Dort has produced top-50 numbers that include 25.7 PPG on 46.7 FG%, 3.5 3PG, 5.7 RPG, and 1.5 SPG.
Isaiah Roby (Pick Up): Roby is currently producing a nice glue-guy line. He is not producing standout numbers in any category, but he does give you a little bit of everything. Over his last seven, the big man has averaged 10.9 PPG on 50.8 FG% and 90.9 FT%, 0.9 3PG, 5.9 RPG, 2.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, and 0.7 BPG. He’s a better pickup in eight-category leagues than in nine-category leagues, as he comes with a high turnover rate for a big (2.6 TOPG over the last month).
Evan Fournier (Pick Up): I feel for those who are going to lose their championship matchup because Fournier somehow managed to pick up five steals. That is a tough one. Fournier should be owned until Kemba Walker is back. Walker is out tonight, and his status for Friday night’s game against the Spurs is unclear. When Kemba is in, Fournier is just a deep-league hold. He is very dependent on usage to generate value, and his usage rate in Boston has been a paltry 17.1 percent. In Orlando, Fournier’s usage rate was almost 24 percent.
Payton Pritchard: I wouldn’t read too much into this. Pritchard got some extra minutes and touches because both Tatum and Kemba were out. With Tatum back tonight, the rookie will go back to being just a low-end threes option who doesn’t give you anything else. Over the last month, Pritchard has averaged a forgettable 8.9 PPG, 1.8 3PG, 2.5 RPG, 1.4 APG, and 0.5 SPG.
Bucks 114 Hornets 104
Donte DiVincenzo: The Bucks still have three games left this week, so DiVincenzo should be somewhat valuable until the end of the week. However, I would only roster him if steals was a deciding category. The guard hasn’t been doing much outside of that category lately and comes with a material FG% hit. Over the last two weeks, DiVincenzo has averaged only 7.3 PPG on 39.5 FG%, 1.2 3PG, 5.2 RPG, and 3.0 APG.
Bobby Portis: Unless Giannis or Lopez gets a night off during the Bucks’ upcoming back-to-back set against the Rockets and Bulls (possible given the opponents), Portis is going to have a hard time being more than a low-end FG% and boards streamer the rest of the week. Portis has only hit the 20-minute mark in two of his last six games and one of those games came without P.J. Tucker in the lineup.
Cody Martin: I’d be more excited about Martin if the return of Ball and Monk wasn’t just around the corner. Once those two are back, Martin’s minutes will get squeezed a bit. Until then, Martin should be a solid boards and steals streamer. In the three games that he’s started over the last week, the Hornet has averaged 7.0 RPG and 2.0 SPG. The rest of his line will be limited.
Brad Wanamaker: Wanamaker may be useful for another game or two as a low-end dimes and steals streamer. Once LaMelo is back, he’ll be a drop, even in super deep leagues. Due to all of the Hornets’ injuries, the point guard has seen his minutes jump over Charlotte’s last two games. In those two games, he’s averaged 12.5 PPG, 3.5 APG, and 1.0 SPG.
Mavericks 133 Warriors 103
Dorian Finney-Smith (Pick Up): Must-add. DFS has been a mid-round player lately and still has three games left this week. Due to the schedule and how well he’s played, expect him to be on plenty of championship rosters this year. Over his last eight, in 33.4 MPG, the forward has posted top-40 numbers that include averages of 13.4 PPG on 57.1 FG%, 3.0 3PG, 5.6 RPG, 1.3 SPG, and only 0.6 TOPG.
Jalen Brunson: The low minutes are disappointing, but Brunson still has some value as a streamer in standard leagues with the Mavericks having three more games this week. Look his way if you need points and low-end dimes that are not accompanied by a FG% hit. Over the last month, Brunson has provided his owners with 12.4 PPG on 50.3 FG%, 1.0 3PG, and 3.9 APG.
Mychal Mulder: Throw this box score out. This game was over in the first quarter. I would ignore the big line from Mulder, and I would not be adding outside of 30-team leagues. He can provide low-end points and a couple of threes per night when he’s starting, but this is a fluke. The Warrior also produces one of the emptiest lines in the business. Mulder makes Tony Snell look like a well-rounded fantasy asset. The sophomore has not recorded an assist, steal, or block in any of his last six games.
Jordan Poole: The points and threes continue to be decent (12.5 PPG, 2.3 3PG over the last two weeks), but you really need to stay away from Poole if FG% is competitive. The hit that accompanies the Warrior has been enormous lately. Over his last eight, Poole has shot a putrid 34.8 percent from the field (11.1 FGA). That is not a percentage that is guaranteed to turn around. As a rookie, Poole connected on only 33.3 percent of his field goal attempts.
Wolves 114 Rockets 107
Ricky Rubio: Rubio is fine to drop in standard leagues. He’s not playing enough these days to be more than a so-so assists and steals streamer (4.0 APG, 1.3 SPG over the last week) and the Wolves’ upcoming schedule is horrendous. After playing their final game of the week on Saturday, Minnesota is off until Wednesday of Week 19.
Juan Hernangomez: Those in very deep leagues should keep an eye on Hernangomez, but in any league with 16 teams or fewer, I would just ignore the forward. This was the first time in six games that Hernangomez played more than 19 minutes. He can post solid numbers in points and threes in limited minutes from time to time, but due to how little he’s playing, I would try to stream someone safer. Over the last two weeks, in 20.5 MPG, Hernangomez has averaged 11.9 PPG on 56.7 FG%, 1.6 3PG, 3.4 RPG, 0.9 APG, 0.4 SPG, and 0.4 BPG.
Kevin Porter: Gross stuff from Porter who does this way too often. I’m sure he’ll play a million minutes down the stretch, but I can’t call him a must-own with all of the holes in his line. Porter is only for matchups where assists are a deciding category and FG% is not. Take assists away, and Porter isn’t even producing top-350 numbers on the year in nine-category leagues. He’ll be a drop in most settings after this Sunday due to the Rockets’ Week 19 schedule. Next week, the Rockets only play three games and do not start their week until Wednesday. Of course, this advice only applies to category leagues. In points leagues, he should be very valuable down the stretch.
Kenyon Martin: A nice line from Martin, but not one that I would expect going forward. This was his best game in over two weeks. If Christian Wood is shut down at some point, Martin will become a pickup in most leagues, but until then, he’s just a defensive categories streamer. Over his last eight, Martin has managed only 7.5 PPG on 40.7 FG%, 0.3 3PG, 4.8 RPG, 0.5 APG, 1.1 SPG, and 0.8 BPG.
Blazers 133 Pacers 112
Anfernee Simons: I’m sure someone somewhere streamed Simons last night. I feel terrible for his or her opponent. This is a fluke driven by the score and Powell having maybe the worst game of his career. Simons did not play more than 15 minutes in any of his prior three contests and averaged only 6.3 PPG and 1.7 3PG over that stretch. Keep an eye on him, but I would be shocked if Simons became valuable down the stretch given how many minutes the top three guards are playing.
Enes Kanter: Kanter is only seeing minutes in the mid-teens these days, but that is still enough run to make him a hold in 14-team leagues and a strong streamer in 12-team leagues. Despite only playing 16.5 MPG over his last four, Kanter has averaged 10.5 PPG on 55.9 FG%, 7.5 RPG, and 0.5 BPG. The Blazers’ upcoming schedule adds to his appeal. Portland has three more games this week and plays on Monday of Week 19.
Oshae Brisset (Pick Up): Brisset is a must-own player until Goga and Sabonis are back, and we’ll see what happens after that. It’s possible that Coach Bjorkgren continues to find some minutes for the impressive sophomore. With how things look right now, I would think that Brissett gets at least one more start. Goga and Sabonis were only partial participants in today’s practice, and the Pacers likely aren’t beating the Nets tomorrow regardless of who is out there. Giving them another game off and bringing them back for the weekend contest against the Thunder makes more sense. In the five games that Brissett has started this month, he’s averaged an elite 15.6 PPG, 2.6 3PG, 9.4 RPG, 1.0 SPG, and 1.8 BPG.
Justin Holiday: Holiday is too inconsistent to trust as more than a one-game streamer, even in 14-team leagues. He’s only scored in double-digits once over his last 11 games and his output in the steals category has slowed down as of late. Over the last two weeks, Holiday has averaged only 0.9 SPG. The only category where you can expect consistent results from the swingman in is threes. Over that same two-week stretch, Holiday has averaged 1.9 3PG.
Nets 116 Raptors 103
DeAndre Jordan: This didn’t look like a rest day. Jordan may be out of the rotation again. With Nicolas Claxton returning soon, I am dropping Jordan everywhere, although I do think it is possible that he gets in against Nurkic and the Blazers and Giannis and the Bucks later this week. If Jordan is getting benched, Jeff Green will see a bump in value and Blake Griffin may play a little more.
Blake Griffin: This was Blake’s third solid game in a row. I don’t buy him as a long-term asset, but if you need low-end scoring and rebounding numbers this week, you could do worse than the former All-Star with the Nets starting a stretch of three games in four nights on Thursday. Over this latest three-game hot streak, Griffin has averaged a surprisingly helpful 15.3 PPG, 1.7 3PG, 5.3 RPG, 1.7 SPG, and 0.7 BPG.
Malachi Flynn: I would not be in a rush to drop Flynn with the Raptors having three games left this week and Fred VanVleet saying his body feels like “shit”. As long as one of VanVleet, Lowry, and Trent is out, Flynn should be able to produce low-end standard-league numbers. If two are out, then mid-round numbers are doable. If you are in a Roto league, the point guard is a must-stash. The Raptors’ next four games come against the Nuggets, Jazz, Lakers, and Clippers. If that rough stretch doesn’t go well, it’s possible that Flynn is unleashed over the last week and a half of the season.
Khem Birch (Pick Up): Birch has fit in very well with the Raptors and is looking like a standard-league pickup and hold. Over his last seven, in 28.9 MPG, Birch has averaged 10.1 PPG on 56.6 FG%, 7.4 RPG, 0.9 SPG, and 1.7 BPG. The blocks and the FG% impact are not sustainable, but Birch should be a plus contributor in both categories as long as Chris Boucher is sidelined.