Apr. 26 Box Score Analysis (11 Games)

 In Box Score Analysis

Nuggets 120 Grizzlies 96

Facu Campazzo (Pick Up): Facu is going to give you a lot of lines like this until Monte Morris is back. If you need threes, assists, and steals this week, Campazzo is your guy. Over his last four, in 30.7 MPG, the point guard has averaged 1.5 3PG, 6.8 APG, and 1.5 SPG. The rest of his line will be weak and he will come with a material FG% hit (37.5 FG%).

P.J. Dozier: A forgettable line from Dozier, but with the Nuggets starting a stretch of three games in four nights on Wednesday, I would be hesitant to drop him. He has also been much more productive than this lately. Despite the quiet night, Dozier is still producing top-90 numbers over the last two weeks and is giving his owners a little bit of everything (12.0 PPG on 44.3 FG%, 1.3 3PG, 4.3 RPG, 3.4 APG, 1.3 SPG, and 0.7 BPG over the last two weeks).

 

De’Anthony Melton/Grayson Allen/Dillon Brooks: In normal times, I’d be fine with moving on from most of the Grizzlies’ guards. Jenkins is playing roughly 40 players a night and it is sapping the value of most of the rotation. However, with the Grizzlies starting a stretch of three games in four nights on Wednesday and with two of those games coming against the Magic, I would just hold on for now and then drop for the extra game on Sunday.

Jaren Jackson Jr: Jackson owners got very lucky that the rest day came on Sunday and not last night. If he played on Sunday, then Week 18 would be a two-game week for Jackson. Assuming he doesn’t start playing in back-to-back sets, he’ll play two more games this week and then three games next week. With a week schedule like that, Jackson will be droppable if his minutes don’t start to ramp up soon. If I already owned him, I’d give him a couple of more games, but if he continues to play 20 a night, I’d start considering other options.

 

Pistons 100 Hawks 86

Saddiq Bey: Bey is a drop in most leagues with the Pistons off until Thursday. He will be a pickup on Sunday night with the Pistons having five games in Week 18. If someone scoops him up a little earlier than that, don’t fret. The rookie may only be a low-end option next week, even with the five-game schedule. Bey has not been very valuable lately and has averaged only 9.8 PPG on 28.6 FG%, 1.8 3PG, 5.8 RPG, 1.3 APG, 0.5 SPG, and 0.5 BPG over his last four.

Isaiah Stewart (Hold): I would hold Stewart through the lull in the Pistons’ schedule. Unlike Bey, Stewart has been crushing it lately and has the potential to swing your championship matchup next week. Stewart has played well as a reserve and will almost certainly get multiple starts during the Pistons’ five-game week. Top-50 numbers on a totals basis in Week 19 is very possible. Over the last two weeks, in only 24.9 MPG, Stewart has been a top-45 nine-category player and has averaged 12.0 PPG on 59.4 FG%, 11.5 RPG, and 2.0 BPG.

 

Kevin Huerter (Drop): Huerter sprained his shoulder and is already being called doubtful for the Hawks’ Wednesday night game against the Sixers. I would drop him in all leagues. Even if this proves to be minor, he will likely only play only one more game at most this week with the Hawks’ final two games being part of a back-to-back set. Huerter going down is a major blow to his owners, as he had produced third-round numbers over his last eight games.

Brandon Goodwin (Drop): Goodwin got the start but left the game early in a wheelchair after suffering an ankle injury. The odds are low that he’s just pulling a Paul Pierce, so I think it’s safe to go ahead and drop Goodwin, even in deep leagues. Lou Williams should benefit most from Goodwin going down. He missed last night’s game with the flu but is probable for Wednesday’s game. Grab Lou if you need points, assists, and FT%. If he’s playing 25+ MPG, he should post strong numbers in all three categories. Even in an expanded role, Lou Will will only be a low-end source of threes (1.8 3P36).

 

Bulls 110 Heat 102

Daniel Theis: Theis is fine to hold in deeper leagues with the Bulls having three games left this week, but in shallower settings, you can likely find a better streamer. If you take a look at his game log, you’ll see that this game is a major outlier. Before last night’s explosion, Theis had not scored in double-digits in any of his previous six games and averaged only 4.8 RPG and 0.5 BPG over that stretch.

Thad Young: Thad is a solid stream from now until Monday. From Wednesday to Monday of Week 19, the Bulls play four times. After Monday, you will want to drop, as the Bulls do not play again in Week 19 until Thursday. Young is no longer the mid-round player that he was in the middle of the year, but he is still producing some useful numbers in FG%, rebounds, assists, and steals. Over his last four, in 21.4 MPG, the veteran has averaged 12.0 PPG on 70.0 FG%, 5.8 RPG, 4.5 APG, and 1.0 SPG.

 

Goran Dragic: The big minutes were due to both Nunn and Herro being out with short-term injuries, so I wouldn’t bother adding Dragic. When both players are healthy, Dragic is not even a lock to hit the 20-minute mark. The Heat’s schedule also works against Dragic. After a Wednesday night tip-off against the Spurs, the Heat are off until Saturday.

Trevor Ariza: Ariza is a reasonable option if you need threes, rebounds, and steals. That’s all he does, but he has been doing enough in all three categories lately to produce top-100 value. Over his last nine, Ariza has been a top-80 nine-category player and has blessed his owners a line that includes averages of 11.4 PPG, 2.4 3PG, 5.8 RPG, and 1.0 SPG.

 

Wolves 105 Jazz 104

Jaden McDaniels: Big minutes and not much production. That has been the story of Jaden McDaniels lately. He’s fine to stream if you need a block and a handful of boards, but I wouldn’t expect anything else, and I would stream his spot in 16-team leagues. Over his last four, McDaniels has averaged 7.3 PPG on 48.1 FG%, 0.5 3PG, 5.8 RPG, 1.0 APG, 0.5 SPG, and 1.0 BPG.

Naz Reid: Reid is a little more interesting than usual this week with the Wolves playing on both Tuesday and Thursday. That’s a big deal due to their being 10 games on Wednesday, and Tuesday and Thursday being quiet nights in the association. Reid is inconsistent, but he’s a high-upside stream due to his ability to contribute solid numbers in the big-man categories while providing low-end numbers in points and threes. Over his last eight, in only 19.9 MPG, the big man has averaged 11.4 PPG on 48.6 FG%, 0.6 3PG, 5.8 RPG, and 1.1 BPG.

 

Joe Ingles (Hold): Back-to-back rough games for Ingles, but with Mitchell out and the Jazz starting a stretch of three games in four nights on Wednesday, I am holding in all leagues. The minutes and usage have been there the last couple of games, he’s just shot poorly. He’s too good of a shooter for his slump to continue much longer, and once he starts hitting close to half his shots again, the Australian will go back to posting mid-round numbers.

Bojan Bogdanovic: Same deal as Ingles. This was just an off-night for Bogdanovic. It’s unfortunate, but it happens, and I wouldn’t be looking to drop if I already owned him due to the Jazz’s upcoming schedule. Bogdanovic has been up and down all year, but for the most part, he’s been very productive lately. Despite this huge dud dragging down his averages, Bogdanovic has averaged 19.4 PPG and 2.7 3PG over his last seven. He has also provided his owners with elite FT% impact over that stretch (93.9 FT% on 4.7 FTA).

 

Pelicans 120 Clippers 103

Willy Hernangomez: Hernangomez will be a strong streamer for those in need of rebounds and FG% impact until Steven Adams is back. The Pelican is one of the best per-minute rebounders in the league (14.3 RP36) and is shooting 55.9 percent from the field this season. In leagues with double-doubles as a category, he is an especially strong add. The big man has recorded a double-double in two of his last three games.

Eric Bledsoe: Nope. Not interested. Was this a big game and do the Pelicans start a stretch of three games in four nights on Wednesday? Yes and yes. However, we can’t trust Bledsoe at this point in the season because 1) he never posts lines like this, and 2) SVG has been cutting his minutes lately. Last night’s 25 minutes were actually the most minutes that Bledsoe has played in any of his last four games.

 

All Clippers except for Paul George and Kawhi Leonard: Everyone on the Clippers outside of the top-two are drops after Wednesday, even in deep leagues. After Wednesday’s game against the Suns, the Clippers play only one game over the next five days. Marcus Morris and Ivica Zubac are useful, but not useful enough to hold through that stretch. If this is your finals, then George and Kawhi are cuttable as well. Leonard’s status for his week remains unclear, and George picked up a minor ankle injury that could lead to him missing Wednesday night’s game.

 

Suns 118 Knicks 110

Cam Johnson: The usual from Johnson. Useful threes, low-end points, and absolutely nothing else. Unless you play in a very deep league, you can likely do better when hunting for threes. Despite Jae Crowder being out, Johnson has averaged only 10.3 PPG and 1.8 3PG over the last two weeks.

Cameron Payne: I never know what to write about when it comes to the Suns because with Crowder out, the entire team beyond the top-four is irrelevant in most fantasy leagues. This was a nice line from Payne, but outside of very deep leagues, you should just ignore the point guard. He doesn’t have much value as a streamer as he does not provide above-average numbers in any category. Over the last 14 days, Payne has averaged a forgettable 9.0 PPG, 1.1 3PG, 2.5 RPG, 3.0 APG, and 0.6 SPG.

 

Reggie Bullock: Bullock has been going off lately, but the Knicks’ upcoming schedule presents a huge problem. From today until Sunday, the Knicks only play once. That unfortunate break in the schedule makes Bullock a drop in any competitive matchup. If you drop after Wednesday and pick up players with back-to-back sets starting on both Thursday and Saturday, you will get six games out of Bullock’s spot and will only need to use two moves. In Week 19, he’ll be a pickup again with the Knicks having four games. Over the last two weeks, the veteran has averaged an excellent 15.6 PPG on 54.2 FG%, 3.9 3PG, 3.7 RPG, and 2.3 APG.

Derrick Rose: Like Bullock, Rose is eating while Alec Burks is stuck in COVID protocol. The former MVP has been a top-65 player over the last two weeks and has averaged 18.1 PPG on 56.3 FG%, 0.9 3PG, 5.5 APG, and 1.0 SPG over that stretch. Also like Bullock, he’s a drop in any competitive matchup after Wednesday due to the Knicks’ horrendous schedule.

 

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